Question

Will transformer models be the state-of-the-art on most natural language processing benchmarks on January 1, 2027?

Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
92%
(85% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 92%
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2024