Question

Will transformer models be the state-of-the-art on most natural language processing benchmarks on January 1, 2027?

6
11
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
90%
(78% - 96.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 90%
Authors:
will_aldredelifland
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2024
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence