Question
How many spaceflight-related fatalities will occur between January 1 2020 and January 1 2025?
Resolved:0Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction
<1
(<1 - 4.55)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 51.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <1 | — |
| median | <1 | — |
| upper 75% | 4.55 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >500 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?0
Community Baseline Score
116.1
Community Peer Score
11.7
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2019
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2019
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018