10 comments
47 forecasters
Will a nuclear device with a yield above 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2019?
31%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 31% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2018
Resolved:Dec 31, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018