26 comments
281 forecasters
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
2%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018
Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?
50% chance
77
Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
6% chance
259
What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?
1.34%
(0.423 - 13.4)
1.34%
(0.423 - 13.4)
46 forecasters