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Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Developing resuscitated technology is perhaps the most integral part of making cryonics viable, but its feasability is highly debated and subject to speculation.

To pin the probability of the development of such technology down, this question asks:

Will any person that has been in cryopreservation for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before the 1st of January 2200?

For the purposes of this question, a revived patient must be determined by at least three recognized medical experts (M.D. or PhD in Biology, Neuroscience or equivalent level of education), each of whom is independent of the cryonics organisation responsible for the patient, to be conscious, alert and responsive to questions for at least 12 hours at some point within a year and a day after midnight on the date that the attempt to revive them is made. This would include a whole-brain emulation, but exclude a clone of the original person.

Moreover, an emulated person is a human brain emulated on a computer, with the emulation being faithful to the original brain. Further details on what counts as a successful whole brain emulation for our purposes may be found in the resolution conditions for this question.

Related question: “Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?”


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