Question
How many electoral college votes will Donald Trump win in the 2020 Presidential Election?
Resolved:232Total Forecasters162
Community Prediction
223
(177 - 268)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 177.2 | — |
| median | 222.8 | — |
| upper 75% | 267.9 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >538 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?232
Community Baseline Score
59.3
Community Peer Score
16.7
Authors:
Opened:Dec 12, 2018
Closes:Nov 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 13, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 12, 2018
Closes:Nov 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 13, 2018