Question
What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction
0.268%
(0.106% - 0.636%)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.1063% | — |
| median | 0.2684% | — |
| upper 75% | 0.636% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >7.5% | 2.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 13, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 13, 2018