A new major religion on 1 January 2050?
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 2, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolved:Dec 4, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 4, 2019
What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050?
21.2%
(16.7 - 26.5)
21.2%
(16.7 - 26.5)
117 forecasters
Will 20 million people follow a new, AI-created religion by the end of 2035?
2% chance
61
Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?
40% chance
25