Question

Before 2025, will an asteroid or comet estimated to be at least 50 meters in diameter be detected to be due to collide with Earth before 2100?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters164
Community Prediction
2%
(1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
91.0
Community Peer Score
15.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 17, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 18, 2018