17 forecasters

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

Current estimate

11 Jan 2028

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

May 2, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2059

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2060

Spot Scoring Time:

May 4, 2023