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59 forecasters
Will Jeremy Corbyn become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2020?
25%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2018
Closes:Jan 15, 2019
Resolved:Dec 31, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2018
Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
40% chance
100
Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?
54% chance
42
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
12 Oct 2028
(12 Feb 2027 - 14 Dec 2029)
12 Oct 2028
(12 Feb 2027 - 14 Dec 2029)
17 forecasters