Swedish NATO Membership by 2024?

conditional

condition

Erdoğan wins 2023 Turkish Presidential Election?

Resolved:Yes

36 forecasters

if yes

if no

Swedish NATO Membership by 2024?

54%

Resolved:No

Swedish NATO Membership by 2024?

81%

Resolved:Annulled

no comments0

Make a Prediction

Erdoğan wins 2023 Turkish Presidential Election?	Swedish NATO Membership by 2024?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 54%

What was the final result? No

Community Baseline Score

-8.6

Community Peer Score

36.1

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Feb 7, 2023

Closes:

Jun 1, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

85%

Will Norway announce an official referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in September 2025?

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Feb 7, 2023

Closes:

Jun 1, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

85%