Question
How many people will die in the Sudan conflict in 2023?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters34
Community Prediction
>10k
(>10k - >10k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >10k | — |
| median | >10k | — |
| upper 75% | >10k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10k | 82.1% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
68.8
Community Peer Score
80.6
Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 3, 2023
Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 3, 2023