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Will there be rioting in the UK or Gibraltar if the UK leaves the EU on 29 March 2019?
The United Kingdom is due to leave the European Union on 29 March 2019 at 23:00 London time, following a referendum held in June 2016 in which 51.89% of voters voted to leave the EU, and 48.11% voted to remain.
In the final stages of negotiating an exit, the UK has met with significant difficulty. A Parliamentary vote on Prime Minister Theresa May's deal, scheduled to take place on December 12th, has been delayed until further notice because of the belief of the British Government that the vote could not be won. May has attempted to secure further concessions from the EU, but high level officials including President Tusk and President Juncker say that no renegotiation is possible. Further, a number of British and European politicians are calling for Brexit to be delayed beyond 29 March 2019, or to be cancelled.
Prime Minister May has ruled out delaying or cancelling Brexit on many occasions since taking office in 2016, saying that to do so would be a betrayal of the electorate, undermine faith in democracy and lead to political instability. Others have claimed that there will be protests, violence and even insurrection in the event that Brexit is not implemented. Others fear that these events will occur if Brexit does happen.
If the United Kingdom leaves the European Union on 29 March 2019, as planned, will there be rioting in the UK or Gibraltar?
This question resolves positively if Brexit occurs on schedule on 29 March 2019, and credible media reports indicate that rioting has taken place anywhere in the United Kingdom or Gibraltar as a result. The rioting must occur within 30 days of 23:00 London time 29 March 2019.
Resolves ambiguously if Brexit is delayed or cancelled. Resolves positive if protests occur that directly result in damages to property (cars, shops, windows, etc.) amounting to at least £100,000 (≈$126,900).
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