🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will the next vacancy arise for a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States?

Resolved :Sep 18, 20202020-12-24
16
39
Total Forecasters121
Community Prediction2020-12-24 (2020-09-12 - 2021-08-16)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
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2020-09-12 00:26
2020-12-24 01:25
2021-08-16 06:55

What was the final result?Sep 18, 2020

Community Baseline Score
63.9
Community Peer Score
12.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Supreme Court of the US
Article Three of the United States Constitution
Chief Justice of the United States
Standing Rules of the United States Senate
President of the US
US Senate

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