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39
118
forecasters
16
39 comments
118 forecasters
Politics
1 more...
When will the next vacancy arise for a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States?
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24 Dec 2020
result
18 Sep 2020 23:00 UTC
Resolved
18 Sep 2020 23:00 UTC
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13 comments
33 forecasters
Date Next SCOTUS Vacancy Arises
Current estimate
15 Jun 2027
19 comments
781 forecasters
SCOTUS composition change in 2026?
20%
chance
0 comments
22 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
13%
8 comments
25 forecasters
Trump SCOTUS Justices by January 21, 2029
3
16.3%
4
49%
5
27.6%
6
6.1%
7 or more
1%
29 comments
132 forecasters
SCOTUS Impeachment and Removal by 2030
3.3%
chance
1 comment
6 forecasters
Proportion of Q2 2026 SCOTUS decisions issued by Democratic appointee?
Current estimate
0.283
46 comments
177 forecasters
SCOTUS Changes Size before 2050
35%
chance
11 comments
205 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase during Trump's second term?
2%
chance