39 comments
118 forecasters
When will the next vacancy arise for a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2018
Closes:Sep 17, 2020
Resolved:Sep 17, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 26, 2018
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
26 Jul 2026
(04 Oct 2025 - 01 Aug 2027)
26 Jul 2026
(04 Oct 2025 - 01 Aug 2027)
33 forecasters
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
24 forecasters
Will a US Supreme Court Justice be impeached and removed before 2030?
4% chance
127