Question

Will "decision making under deep uncertainty" be mentioned in the UK Parliament in reference to Artificial Intelligence before 2031?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction

45%

(25% - 56%)

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50%

community: 45%

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Authors:

Will.Pearson

Opened:

May 15, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

May 17, 2023

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

54%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%