Question

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
85%
(75% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score
2.2
Opened:May 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 4, 2023