Question

Will the next UK Parliamentary election held for the seat of Peterborough be won by the Conservative and Unionist Party Candidate?

Resolved:No

19 comments19

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction

(1% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

7.1

Community Baseline Score

29.2

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

May 11, 2019

Closes:

Jul 11, 2019

Resolves:

Jul 11, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

15%

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

0.2%

Will Tom Tugendhat become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

15%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

May 11, 2019

Closes:

Jul 11, 2019

Resolves:

Jul 11, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

15%

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

0.2%

Will Tom Tugendhat become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

15%