20 comments
125 forecasters
Will rapid rocket reusability be demonstrated by 2021?
25%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolved:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 23, 2018
What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?
47 forecasters
When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?
Jul 2034
(Aug 2032 - >Dec 2034)
Jul 2034
(Aug 2032 - >Dec 2034)
8 forecasters
What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?
36 forecasters