Question

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Resolved:No
10
5
Total Forecasters99
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
99.1
Community Peer Score
11.6
Authors:
d0g
Opened:May 5, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 6, 2023
Geopolitics
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