MetaculusM

Question

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

40

Total Forecasters431

Community Prediction9%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 9%

median 9.0%mean 14.6%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China–US trade war

South China Sea

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China–US trade war

South China Sea