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197 forecasters

Computing and Math

Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023?

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3 comments18 forecasters

AI-written article in the New York Times

In 2026-202759.3%

In 2028-202926.9%

2030 or later13.6%

14 comments62 forecasters

AI resolving questions on Metaculus

6 comments80 forecasters

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

Current estimate

8 comments136 forecasters

25% of NYT Best Sellers Written by AI by 2050

3 comments73 forecasters

AI Blackmail for Material Gain by EOY 2028

26 comments1.5k forecasters

AI given rights in US before 2035

4 comments24 forecasters

Chalmers Says AI Conscious By 2030?

2 comments118 forecasters

AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?