Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

When will President Trump's current (Dec 2018) government shutdown end?


The government shutdown is an increasingly sharp tool in the US president's toolbox since President Ford wielded it first in 1976.

On the back of a reinterpretation of the 1884 Antideficiency Act President Carter was first to furlough government workers for the duration of a shutdown in 1980, giving the shutdown publicly visible teeth.

The current shutdown by President Trump is his third this term, and the longest by a good stretch (currently 9 days, compared to his previous three days and a couple hours respectively). The cost for such a shutdown can be enormous, which should be an incentive to not unnecessarily protract it.

Thus we ask:

When will the shutdown end?

It began on 22 Dec 2018, 9 days as of this writing. The record holder is President Clinton with 21 days. Resolves when credible media account indicates so, and if necessary closes retroactively 24 hours before the last step (e.g. Trump's signing something or a vote taken in a house of congress) that leads to the re-opening.

Politics – US

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.