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Question

How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?

Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction5.39 (3.86 - 7.47)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%3.863
median5.393
upper 75%7.473
Upper bound
>250.2%
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025

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