Question
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction5.39 (3.86 - 7.47)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 3.863 | — |
median | 5.393 | — |
upper 75% | 7.473 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>25 | 0.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025