Question

Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 5.6%

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

New York Stock Exchange

London Stock Exchange Group

2010 flash crash

Nasdaq

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will there be a full year with no open stock exchanges in the US by 2120?

20%

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

New York Stock Exchange

London Stock Exchange Group

2010 flash crash

Nasdaq

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

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Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will there be a full year with no open stock exchanges in the US by 2120?

20%

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

15%