Question

Will there be an emergency shutdown at a Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) facility before January 1, 2025?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction3%

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community: 3%

median 3.0%mean 6.0%

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI in China

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Before mid-2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

59%

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?

32%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI in China

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Before mid-2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

59%

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?

32%