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82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
Authors:
casens
Opened:Jun 4, 2023
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Nov 15, 2024
Elections
2024 Leaderboard
2021-2025 Leaderboard
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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

2024
No
2028
1%
2032
5%
6 others
25 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

JD Vance
52.1%
Other
24%
Marco Rubio
8.6%
5 others
184 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other
39.3%
Gavin Newsom
23.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.1%
5 others
164 forecasters
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