Question
When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
Aug 2044
(May 2035 - Jan 2061)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <02 Jan 2024 | 6.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | May 2035 | — |
| median | Aug 2044 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2061 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2231 | 0.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 21, 2023
Closes:Jun 10, 2231
Scheduled resolution:Jun 11, 2231
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 23, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jun 21, 2023
Closes:Jun 10, 2231
Scheduled resolution:Jun 11, 2231
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 23, 2023