📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

3
11
47 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Host Country(s)Me
Spain-Portugal-Morocco
yes
Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay
no
Greece-Saudi Arabia
no
Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco
no
Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia
no
Resolved Dec 11, 2024
Community Baseline Score
65.1
Community Peer Score
18.8
Authors:
AndyTwo2
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Sports & Entertainment
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Uruguay–Argentina–Chile–Paraguay 2030 FIFA World Cup bid
FIFA Congress
Argentina
Portugal
Morocco
Russo-Ukrainian War
FIFA World Cup
2026 FIFA World Cup
Spain

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