conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook | When AI concern go mainstream in US? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?" resolves.
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 22 Jul 2025 | — |
| median | 02 May 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 05 Apr 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2035 | 2.3% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2023
Closed:Dec 31, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2035
Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2023
Closed:Dec 31, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2035
