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48 forecasters
6
0 comments
48 forecasters
Geopolitics
condition

Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024?

Resolved:No
48 forecasters
if yes
if no

Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?

20%
20%
Resolved:Annulled

Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?

1%
1%
Resolved:No
if Yes20%
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23 comments174 forecasters

Russian Territory Loss >20% by 2028

1%chance
10 comments77 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

20273%
20307%
203515%
17 comments224 forecasters

Ukraine takes control of Donetsk and Luhansk?

4%chance
57 comments291 forecasters

Russian Annexation in the Baltics Before 2035

4%chance
17 comments154 forecasters

Russia's Democratisation post-Putin

10%chance
201 comments2.5k forecasters

Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

18%chance
14 comments111 forecasters

Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?

99%chance
7 comments93 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy cede land for peace?

25%chance