11 comments
13 forecasters
What will be the average impact score, as judged in 2032, for achieving the milestone of reducing antibiotic resistance in strains of pathogenic bacteria by 90% in a high-density fish pond?
Scientific Impact Score5.68
Social Impact Score5.49
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2023
Closed:Dec 31, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2033
Will antimicrobial drug sales for use in livestock production increase by at least 0.5% in 2024 relative to 2023?
60% chance
171
How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?
75.9k deaths
(47.3k - 139k)
75.9k deaths
(47.3k - 139k)
27 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7% chance
159