Group

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

159 forecasters

Syria

Haiti

Mali

Libya

Afghanistan

Democratic Republic of Congo

Country		My Prediction		Me
Syria	80%

Haiti	72%

Mali	62%

Libya	60%

Afghanistan	54%

Democratic Republic of Congo	50%

Venezuela	50%

Ethiopia	39%

Chad	39%

Thailand	35%

Iran	32%

Pakistan	32%

Egypt	30%

Nigeria	28%

Uganda	27%

Iraq	27%

Russia	26%

Belarus	21%

Ukraine	20%

Togo	20%

Bolivia	18%

Nicaragua	15%

Turkey	15%

Cote d'Ivoire	12.5%

Mauritania	11%

Ecuador	11%

Angola	11%

Peru	10%

Armenia	10%

Guatemala	10%

El Salvador	10%

Azerbaijan	10%

Cuba	10%

North Korea	9.2%

Algeria	9%

Ghana	9%

Senegal	7.5%

Philippines	7%

Kenya	7%

Turkmenistan	7%

Saudi Arabia	5%

Brazil	5%

Indonesia	5%

South Africa	4%

Malaysia	4%

Israel	4%

Republic of China (Taiwan)	4%

Mexico	3%

South Korea	3%

Serbia	3%

Hungary	2.5%

People's Republic of China	2.5%

Argentina	2%

Vietnam	2%

Qatar	2%

United States	1.5%

Poland	1%

Greece	1%

France	1%

Germany	1%

Spain	1%

United Kingdom	1%

India	1%

Italy	1%

Romania	1%

Slovakia	1%

Chile	1%

United Arab Emirates	1%

Sweden	0.9%

Netherlands	0.8%

Japan	0.5%

Australia	0.5%

Finland	0.5%