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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

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82
160 forecasters

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CountryMe
Syria
81%
Haiti
70%
Mali
61%
Libya
60%
Democratic Republic of Congo
50%
Afghanistan
50%
Venezuela
50%
Ethiopia
39%
Chad
39%
Thailand
35%
Iran
33%
Pakistan
32%
Egypt
30%
Nigeria
28%
Uganda
27%
Iraq
27%
Russia
25%
Belarus
21%
Ukraine
20%
Togo
19%
Bolivia
18%
Nicaragua
15%
Cote d'Ivoire
13%
Mauritania
11%
Angola
11%
Ecuador
11%
Turkey
11%
Peru
10%
Armenia
10%
El Salvador
10%
Guatemala
10%
Azerbaijan
10%
Ghana
9.3%
Algeria
9%
Cuba
9%
North Korea
8%
Senegal
8%
Philippines
7%
Brazil
7%
Kenya
7%
Turkmenistan
7%
Indonesia
5%
South Africa
5%
South Korea
5%
Israel
5%
Saudi Arabia
5%
Malaysia
4%
Republic of China (Taiwan)
4%
Serbia
3%
Mexico
3%
Hungary
3%
People's Republic of China
2%
United States
2%
Vietnam
2%
Argentina
2%
Qatar
2%
Romania
1%
Italy
1%
United Arab Emirates
1%
Spain
1%
Slovakia
1%
Greece
1%
Germany
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Japan
1%
India
1%
France
1%
Poland
1%
Chile
1%
Sweden
0.9%
Netherlands
0.5%
Finland
0.5%
Australia
0.3%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040