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82
comments
161
forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
74%
Mali
62.5%
70 others
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Predict
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Timeline
In the News
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Syria
Haiti
Mali
Others (70)
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
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embed
Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:
Jul 27, 2023
Closes:
Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2040
Geopolitics
News Match
From barracks to palace: Soldiers who led military coups to become state leaders
Associated Press
•
Oct 18, 2025
Madagascar coup leader sworn in as president after Andry Rajoelina impeached amid "Gen Z" protests
CBS
•
Oct 17, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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