M

Group

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

30
82
150 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 56

Make a Prediction

CountryMe
Thailand
37.5%
Syria
80%
Haiti
68%
Mali
60%
Libya
58%
Democratic Republic of Congo
50%
Afghanistan
50%
Venezuela
49%
Ethiopia
40%
Chad
40%
Iraq
33%
Nigeria
32%
Iran
31%
Egypt
30%
Pakistan
30%
Uganda
27%
Russia
25%
Belarus
22%
Ukraine
20%
Togo
20%
Bolivia
20%
Nicaragua
15%
Turkey
14%
Armenia
12.9%
Cote d'Ivoire
12%
North Korea
10%
Azerbaijan
10%
Angola
10%
Ecuador
10%
Peru
10%
El Salvador
10%
Guatemala
10%
Cuba
10%
Mauritania
10%
Algeria
9%
Ghana
9%
Philippines
8%
Senegal
8%
Saudi Arabia
7.9%
Brazil
7%
Kenya
7%
Turkmenistan
7%
Indonesia
6%
South Korea
5%
Argentina
5%
South Africa
5%
Malaysia
5%
Israel
5%
Republic of China (Taiwan)
4%
Mexico
4%
Qatar
4%
Serbia
4%
Vietnam
4%
Hungary
4%
People's Republic of China
3.3%
Greece
2%
Chile
2%
United States
1.4%
United Kingdom
1%
Germany
1%
France
1%
Japan
1%
Australia
1%
Spain
1%
United Arab Emirates
1%
India
1%
Romania
1%
Italy
1%
Finland
1%
Netherlands
1%
Poland
1%
Slovakia
1%
Sweden
0.9%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040

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