Question
When will the second Starship test flight occur?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters158
Community Prediction
>01 Oct 2023 00:00
(>01 Oct 2023 00:00 - >01 Oct 2023 00:00)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | >01 Oct 2023 00:00 | — |
median | >01 Oct 2023 00:00 | — |
upper 75% | >01 Oct 2023 00:00 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>01 Oct 2023 00:00 | 95.9% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
109.7
Community Peer Score
35.5
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2023
Closes:Sep 30, 2023
Resolves:Oct 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2023
Closes:Sep 30, 2023
Resolves:Oct 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2023