Question

When will the second Starship test flight occur?

Resolved:Above upper bound
Total Forecasters158
Community Prediction
>01 Oct 2023 00:00
(>01 Oct 2023 00:00 - >01 Oct 2023 00:00)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%>01 Oct 2023 00:00
median>01 Oct 2023 00:00
upper 75%>01 Oct 2023 00:00
Upper bound
>01 Oct 2023 00:0095.9%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
109.7
Community Peer Score
35.5
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2023
Closes:Sep 30, 2023
Resolves:Oct 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2023