39 comments
219 forecasters
Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?
0.2%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 6, 2023
Closes:Jan 19, 2025
Resolved:Jan 21, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 7, 2023
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency?
30% chance
22
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?
59% chance
51
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?
67% chance
59