Question

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters205

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

community: 1.5%

median 1.5%mean 3.5%

Authors:

guff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Daniel B. Shapiro

Bahrain–Israel relations

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

55%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

59%

How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?

6.39

Comments

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Authors:

guff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Daniel B. Shapiro

Bahrain–Israel relations

Prospects of a deal with Israel fade away as Saudis invite Iranian foreign minister to visit

FOX News•Oct 9, 2024

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi Visits Saudi Arabia to Conspire Against Israel

Breitbart•Oct 10, 2024

Iran is threatening to break its fragile truce with Saudi Arabia: reports

Business Insider•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

55%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

59%

How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?

6.39