Question

How many parliamentary seats will the Sweden Democrats win in the Swedish 2026 general election?

Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
74.1 seats
(63.3 seats - 86.3 seats)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<200.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%63.32
median74.08
upper 75%86.26
Upper bound
>20013.4%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 4, 2023
Closes:Apr 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Aug 24, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2023