🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025?

Resolved :No1%
1
5
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
61.2
Community Peer Score
7.6
Authors:
kqr
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Libya
US House of Representatives
Muammar Gaddafi
National unity government
Libyan Civil War (2014–present)

Comments

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