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4
61
forecasters
11
4 comments
61 forecasters
AGI Outcomes
3 more...
Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?
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22%
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101 comments
468 forecasters
ASI Transition Beneficial for Humanity
50%
chance
172 comments
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Which AI world before 2050?
AI-Fizzle
9.3%
Futurama
35.4%
AI-Dystopia
29.1%
Singularia
17.5%
Paperclipalypse
8.7%
22 comments
329 forecasters
AI catastrophe to cause (near) extinction
30%
chance
1 comment
78 forecasters
5Y after AGI, AI company dominates economy?
5%
chance
45 comments
468 forecasters
GC to be caused by AI, if it occurs?
27%
chance
7 comments
103 forecasters
Group To Develop First TAI
For-profit
83%
Government
20%
Non-profit
5%
University
4%
2 others
6 comments
101 forecasters
Lack of Major World Events Before 2050?
5%
chance
8 comments
17 forecasters
5Y after AGI, world GDP per capita?-2
Current estimate
23.8k $