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9 forecasters
1
0 comments
9 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
condition

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

9 forecasters
if yes
if no

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

17%
17%

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

11%
11%
if Yes16.7%
if No11.1%
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2 comments33 forecasters

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

23%chance
13 comments115 forecasters

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

7%chance
0 comments29 forecasters

US Agricultural Epidemic / Agroterror by 2040

22.1%chance
3 comments24 forecasters

US Crop Yields Drop 20% if >100 Nukes

80%chance
3 comments29 forecasters

HEMP Attacks Causing >10 Million Fatalities

25%chance
7 comments38 forecasters

Deflation before 2030?

13%chance
0 comments51 forecasters

Global Catastrophe Causing (Near) Extinction

9%chance
23 comments424 forecasters

Global Population Decline >10% by 2100

39%chance