🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
15
24
Total Forecasters159
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
99.2
Community Peer Score
8.7
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Superconductor Frontiers
Natural Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Meissner effect
Technological applications of superconductivity
High-temperature superconductivity
Physics
Materials science
Thermodynamics
Electrical engineering
Superconductivity

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