Question

Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?

Resolved:No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction

46%

(33% - 58%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 46%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

16.2

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Mar 17, 2016

Closes:

Feb 15, 2017

Resolves:

Apr 30, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 17, 2016

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

22 Aug 2029

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

90%

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

85%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Mar 17, 2016

Closes:

Feb 15, 2017

Resolves:

Apr 30, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 17, 2016

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

22 Aug 2029

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

90%

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

85%