M

Question

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

-1
3
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction25%

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50%
community: 25%
median 25.0%mean 33.8%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Neuroscience
Effective altruism
Open Philanthropy
Philosophy
Rob Long
Computational theory of mind
80,000 Hours

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