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If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?

10
30
43 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

StateMe
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
Hawaii
15%
Alabama
11%
Alaska
9%
Washington
5%
Oregon
5%
Oklahoma
5%
Louisiana
5%
Mississippi
5%
Arkansas
3%
South Carolinia
3%
Nevada
1%
Idaho
1%
Utah
1%
Arizona
1%
Montana
1%
Wyoming
1%
Colorado
1%
North Dakota
1%
New Mexico
1%
South Dakota
1%
Nebraska
1%
Kansas
1%
Minnesota
1%
Iowa
1%
Missouri
1%
Wisconsin
1%
Illinois
1%
Kentucky
1%
Tennessee
1%
Michigan
1%
Indiana
1%
Ohio
1%
Maine
1%
New Hampshire
1%
Vermont
1%
Massachusetts
1%
Rhode Island
1%
Connecticut
1%
New York
1%
Pennsylvania
1%
Deleware
1%
Maryland
1%
Virginia
1%
West Virginia
1%
North Carolinia
1%
Georgia
1%
New Jersey
1%
Authors:
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Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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