Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
30
comments
45
forecasters
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
50%
California
36%
Florida
20%
47 others
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Texas
California
Florida
Others (47)
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
Joker
Opened:
Aug 26, 2023
Closes:
Jan 1, 2071
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2071
Politics
News Match
The 18 states that have never won Miss USA... and the one that dominates more than any other
Daily Mail
•
Oct 25, 2025
States Where it’s Almost Impossible to Prove Voter Fraud
American Thinker
•
Oct 21, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will at least one US state secede by 2070?
10%
chance
40
Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?
1%
chance
140
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
230
forecasters
Show More Questions